Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee
Polymarket traders put "Raphael Glucksmann" at 86.5% on "Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 10.
Most likely right now
Raphael Glucksmann
▲1.087%
PoliticsVol $1.3KTotal volume $70KLiquidity $248KComments 12Closes today (Oct 10)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Raphael Glucksmann
86.5%
▲1.0
Olivier Faure
12.5%
▲1.5
Segolene Royal
1.90%
▼1.4
Boris Vallaud
1.10%
–
Jérôme Guedj
0.55%
–
Francois Hollande
0.50%
–
Philippe Brun
0.15%
–
Karim Bouamrane
0.10%
–
Bernard Cazeneuve
0.05%
–
Carole Delga
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Raphael Glucksmann
Olivier Faure
Segolene Royal
Boris Vallaud
Jérôme Guedj
Francois Hollande
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
