Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee
Most likely right now
Raphael Glucksmann
▲4.571%
PoliticsVol $1.1KTotal volume $32KLiquidity $142KComments 9in 2 months (Oct 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Raphael Glucksmann
70.5%
▲4.5
Olivier Faure
11.5%
–
Boris Vallaud
8.00%
▼1.5
Segolene Royal
7.35%
▲0.8
Philippe Brun
2.30%
▼2.4
Carole Delga
1.40%
▲0.6
Francois Hollande
1.20%
▼0.7
Jérôme Guedj
0.80%
–
Karim Bouamrane
0.55%
–
Bernard Cazeneuve
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
