Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "No election before 2027" at 95.7% on "Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. $2 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 1.

Most likely right now
No election before 2027
–96%
PoliticsVol $2Total volume $116KLiquidity $43KComments 7in 5 months (Apr 1)
Current probability

Nov 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
No election before 2027
95.7%
–
Waddani
3.20%
–
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
0.80%
–
Kulmiye
0.05%
–

Probability over time

No election before 2027
Waddani
Justice and Welfare (UCID)
Kulmiye
02550751008/259/119/2310/510/1710/2911/8
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-11-08 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.