South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Graham 0-5%" at 38.0% on "South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory". Up 5.5%p from yesterday. $348 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Graham 0-5%
▲5.538%
PoliticsVol $348Total volume $7.4KLiquidity $146Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Graham 0-5%
38.0%
▲5.5
Graham 5-10%
25.5%
▼3.5
Graham 10-15%
17.5%
▼1.5
Andrews Wins
14.0%
▼0.5
Graham 15-20%
7.00%
–
Graham 20-25%
2.50%
–
Graham 25-30%
0.85%
▼0.8
Graham 30%+
0.80%
–

Probability over time

Graham 0-5%
Graham 5-10%
Graham 10-15%
Andrews Wins
Graham 15-20%
Graham 20-25%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.