South Dakota Governor Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 33.0% on "South Dakota Governor Election Margin of Victory". Up 8.0%p from yesterday. $172 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
▲8.033%
PoliticsVol $172Total volume $12KLiquidity $179Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
33.0%
▲8.0
Republican 20-25%
32.5%
▲2.0
Republican 15-20%
19.5%
▼5.0
Republican 10-15%
7.55%
▼2.1
Republican 30-35%
4.70%
–
Republican 0-10%
3.00%
–
Republican 35-40%
1.80%
▼2.2
Republican 40-45%
1.15%
–
Democrat Wins
0.55%
–
Republican 45%+
0.50%
–

Probability over time

Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 0-10%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.