South Dakota Senate Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Mike Rounds (R)" at 92.5% on "South Dakota Senate Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. $122 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Mike Rounds (R)
–93%
PoliticsVol $122Total volume $54KLiquidity $176KComments 1in 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Mike Rounds (R)
92.5%
–
Brian Bengs (I)
7.55%
–
Democrat
0.15%
–

Probability over time

Mike Rounds (R)
Brian Bengs (I)
Democrat
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.