South Dakota Senate Election Margin of Victory

Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
0.516%
PoliticsVol $40Total volume $2.0KLiquidity $53Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
15.5%
0.5
Republican 20-25%
14.0%
1.0
Republican 10-15%
13.0%
1.5
Republican 30-35%
10.0%
3.0
Republican 35-40%
9.50%
Republican 40-45%
8.50%
0.5
Republican 15-20%
7.00%
1.5
Republican 0-10%
3.45%
Independent Wins
2.55%
Republican 45%+
1.15%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.