South Dakota Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 29.5% on "South Dakota Senate Election Margin of Victory". There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
–30%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $17KLiquidity $149Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
29.5%
–
Republican 0-10%
25.9%
–
Republican 15-20%
18.5%
▲1.0
Republican 20-25%
10.5%
–
Republican 25-30%
8.40%
▼1.7
Republican 30-35%
7.80%
▲1.1
Republican 35-40%
6.80%
▲1.1
Independent Wins
5.35%
–
Republican 45%+
0.70%
–
Republican 40-45%
0.60%
–
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 0-10%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30-35%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
