Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Polymarket traders put "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?" at 1.3%. Down 0.6%p from yesterday. $72K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
▼0.61%
PoliticsVol $72KTotal volume $2.0MLiquidity $256Kin 22 days (Nov 1)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
1.30%
▼0.6

Probability over time

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.