Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2027" at 69.5% on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?". $4.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31, 2027
–70%
PoliticsVol $4.5KTotal volume $4.5KLiquidity $9.1Kin 1.1 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31, 2027
69.5%
–
June 30, 2027
47.5%
–
March 31, 2027
27.5%
–
January 31, 2027
10.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
