Tennessee Governor Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 23.0% on "Tennessee Governor Election Margin of Victory". $490 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
–23%
PoliticsVol $490Total volume $7.7KLiquidity $145Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
23.0%
–
Republican 5-10%
21.6%
▲3.3
Republican 10-15%
19.5%
▼4.5
Republican 20-25%
16.0%
▲2.0
Republican 25-30%
10.0%
▲2.0
Republican 30-35%
9.55%
▲7.0
Republican 0-5%
4.55%
–
Democrat Wins
3.50%
–
Republican 40%+
0.95%
–
Republican 35-40%
0.45%
▼0.9
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30-35%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
