Tennessee Senate Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 36.0% on "Tennessee Senate Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
2.536%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $1.1KLiquidity $37Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
36.0%
2.5
Republican 20-25%
20.0%
Republican 40-45%
16.3%
10.1
Republican 30-35%
13.5%
0.5
Republican 35-40%
12.0%
1.5
Republican 15-20%
9.00%
0.5
Republican 0-10%
9.00%
0.5
Republican 10-15%
7.00%
0.5
Democrat Wins
4.00%
Republican 45%+
2.25%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.