Tennessee Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 28.5% on "Tennessee Senate Election Margin of Victory". Up 5.5%p from yesterday. $50 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▲5.528%
PoliticsVol $50Total volume $8.6KLiquidity $161Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
28.5%
▲5.5
Republican 20-25%
26.5%
–
Republican 10-15%
14.0%
–
Republican 25-30%
11.0%
▼2.0
Republican 30-35%
8.55%
–
Republican 40-45%
8.25%
▲1.4
Republican 35-40%
7.15%
–
Democrat Wins
3.60%
▲1.2
Republican 0-10%
3.30%
–
Republican 45%+
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 40-45%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
