Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 6-9%" at 21.0% on "Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. $96 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 6-9%
▼2.521%
PoliticsVol $96Total volume $2.6KLiquidity $88Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 6-9%
21.0%
▼2.5
Republican 3-6%
16.5%
▲1.0
Republican 9-12%
14.5%
▲1.0
Republican 15-18%
10.5%
▼2.5
Republican 0-3%
10.5%
–
Republican 12-15%
9.00%
▲3.0
Democrat 0-3%
7.85%
▲2.9
Democrat 6%+
4.15%
▼3.8
Democrat 3-6%
3.55%
▲2.1
Republican 18%+
3.30%
–
Probability over time
Republican 6-9%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 15-18%
Republican 0-3%
Republican 12-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
