Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Abbott 0-3%" at 23.5% on "Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $238 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Abbott 0-3%
▲1.024%
PoliticsVol $238Total volume $7.1KLiquidity $125Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Abbott 0-3%
23.5%
▲1.0
Abbott 3-6%
20.5%
–
Abbott 6-9%
19.5%
▲3.0
Hinojosa 0-3%
15.0%
–
Abbott 9-12%
9.50%
▲0.5
Hinojosa 6%+
8.75%
▲1.1
Hinojosa 3-6%
7.50%
–
Abbott 12-15%
6.50%
▼2.0
Abbott 15-18%
5.50%
–
Abbott 18%+
3.25%
–
Probability over time
Abbott 0-3%
Abbott 3-6%
Abbott 6-9%
Hinojosa 0-3%
Abbott 9-12%
Hinojosa 6%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
