Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

Polymarket traders put "James Talarico (D)" at 93.6% on "Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner". Down 1.3%p from yesterday. $233 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
James Talarico (D)
▼1.394%
PoliticsVol $233Total volume $25KLiquidity $46Kin 18 days (Nov 3)
Current probability

Oct 17 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
James Talarico (D)
93.6%
▼1.3
Ken Paxton (R)
6.35%
▲1.1

Probability over time

James Talarico (D)
Ken Paxton (R)
02550751009/29/109/189/2610/410/1210/17
2026-09-02 ~ 2026-10-17 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.