Texas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "James Talarico (D)" at 63.5% on "Texas Senate Election Winner". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. $274K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
James Talarico (D)
▼2.064%
PoliticsVol $274KTotal volume $2.7MLiquidity $684KComments 138in 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
James Talarico (D)
63.5%
▼2.0
Ken Paxton (R)
36.5%
▲3.0
Probability over time
James Talarico (D)
Ken Paxton (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
