Third-best AI Lab end of November?
Polymarket traders put "Meta" at 58.0% on "Third-best AI Lab end of November?". Up 3.5%p from yesterday. $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 21 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.
Most likely right now
Meta
▲3.558%
TechVol $1.3KTotal volume $44KLiquidity $36Kin 28 days (Dec 1)
Current probability
Nov 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Meta
58.0%
▲3.5
Google
9.00%
▼0.5
Alibaba
9.00%
▼1.5
DeepSeek
8.85%
▲7.5
Anthropic
6.75%
▼1.7
Xiaomi
5.40%
▲3.0
Moonshot
5.10%
–
Nvidia
4.00%
▼1.0
Z.ai
3.90%
▲1.3
OpenAI
3.15%
–
MiniMax
2.10%
▲1.5
Amazon
0.80%
–
Thinky
0.20%
–
Tencent
0.20%
–
Baidu
0.15%
–
SpaceXAI
0.15%
–
ByteDance
0.15%
–
StepFun
0.15%
–
Mistral
0.10%
–
Meituan
0.05%
–
Microsoft
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Meta
Google
Alibaba
DeepSeek
Anthropic
Xiaomi
2026-09-19 ~ 2026-11-03 · y-axis %
