Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Polymarket traders put "OpenAI" at 24.1% on "Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?". $879 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 16 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
OpenAI
24%
TechVol $879Total volume $879Liquidity $2.6Kin 2 months (Dec 1)
Current probability

Sep 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
OpenAI
24.1%
Poolside
18.6%
Anthropic
17.5%
MiniMax
16.0%
Google
14.0%
Moonshot
13.0%
Xiaomi
13.0%
Meta
12.5%
ByteDance
12.5%
Alibaba
12.5%
Tencent
11.5%
Mistral
11.5%
Z.ai
8.50%
Thinky
7.55%
SpaceXAI
7.50%
DeepSeek
7.20%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.