TN-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 35-40%" at 32.0% on "TN-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 35-40%
▲3.532%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $200Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 35-40%
32.0%
▲3.5
Republican 50-55%
30.0%
▼8.0
Republican 20-30%
29.5%
▼3.0
Republican 40-45%
27.5%
▼9.0
Republican 55-60%
27.0%
▼5.5
Republican 30-35%
26.5%
▲4.5
Republican 45-50%
25.0%
▼8.0
Republican 0-20%
25.0%
▲0.5
Republican 60%+
18.0%
▼15.5
Democrat Wins
5.00%
▼19.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
