TN-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 28.0% on "TN-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $140 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▼0.528%
PoliticsVol $140Total volume $8.1KLiquidity $92Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
28.0%
▼0.5
Republican 25-30%
25.5%
▲3.0
Republican 30-35%
22.0%
▲1.0
Republican 15-20%
18.0%
▲2.0
Democrat Wins
5.70%
▼6.2
Republican 40%+
5.30%
–
Republican 10-15%
4.95%
▲2.7
Republican 35-40%
3.70%
–
Republican 0-10%
1.05%
–
Probability over time
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 15-20%
Democrat Wins
Republican 40%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
