TN-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 26.0% on "TN-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 6.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▲6.026%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $360Liquidity $9.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
26.0%
▲6.0
Republican 40%+
15.5%
▼2.0
Republican 20-25%
15.5%
▲1.0
Republican 30-35%
14.0%
▲2.0
Republican 0-10%
13.5%
▲1.0
Republican 25-30%
13.0%
▲0.5
Republican 35-40%
11.5%
▼2.0
Republican 10-15%
11.5%
▼2.0
Democrat Wins
3.55%
–
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 40%+
Republican 20-25%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 0-10%
Republican 25-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
