TN-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-5%" at 31.0% on "TN-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 7.0%p from yesterday. $17 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 0-5%
▲7.031%
PoliticsVol $17Total volume $225Liquidity $2.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 0-5%
31.0%
▲7.0
Republican 45%+
30.5%
▲4.0
Republican 25-30%
30.0%
▼1.5
Republican 20-25%
30.0%
▲6.0
Republican 15-20%
30.0%
▲8.5
Republican 35-40%
28.5%
▲2.0
Republican 30-35%
28.5%
▲5.0
Republican 40-45%
26.0%
▼1.0
Republican 5-15%
25.0%
▼5.5
Democrat Wins
19.1%
▲15.3
Probability over time
Republican 0-5%
Republican 45%+
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 35-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
