TN-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 26.5% on "TN-03 House Election Margin of Victory". $80 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
–27%
PoliticsVol $80Total volume $13KLiquidity $107Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
26.5%
–
Republican 30-35%
25.4%
▲0.6
Republican 20-25%
23.1%
▲1.6
Republican 15-20%
12.4%
▲1.4
Republican 35-40%
8.00%
▼4.5
Republican 40-45%
4.70%
–
Republican 5-15%
4.40%
▲0.7
Republican 45%+
4.30%
–
Republican 0-5%
0.35%
–
Democrat Wins
0.20%
–
Probability over time
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 40-45%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
