TN-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 6-9%" at 38.5% on "TN-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 12.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 6-9%
▲12.039%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $209Liquidity $1.1Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 6-9%
38.5%
▲12.0
Republican 12-15%
30.0%
▼1.5
Republican 18-21%
26.5%
▼13.5
Republican 3-6%
26.5%
▼7.5
Republican 9-12%
26.0%
–
Republican 15-18%
24.0%
▼0.5
Republican 0-3%
20.5%
▼10.5
Republican 21%+
17.5%
▼16.0
Democrat 3%+
7.00%
▼2.0
Democrat 0-3%
6.50%
▼0.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
