TN-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 9-12%" at 23.5% on "TN-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 5.0%p from yesterday. $239 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 9-12%
▼5.024%
PoliticsVol $239Total volume $9.8KLiquidity $116Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 9-12%
23.5%
▼5.0
Republican 12-15%
16.5%
▲0.5
Republican 6-9%
15.5%
–
Republican 18-21%
13.1%
▲6.0
Republican 21%+
12.2%
▼0.6
Republican 3-6%
11.5%
▼0.5
Republican 15-18%
10.0%
▼1.5
Republican 0-3%
9.85%
–
Democrat 0-3%
3.50%
–
Democrat 3%+
2.30%
–
Probability over time
Republican 9-12%
Republican 12-15%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 18-21%
Republican 21%+
Republican 3-6%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
