TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 30.5% on "TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▼2.031%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $23Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
30.5%
▼2.0
Republican 35-40%
29.5%
▼2.0
Republican 30-35%
29.0%
▼1.5
Republican 0-10%
27.5%
▲2.5
Republican 40%+
27.0%
▼1.0
Republican 25-30%
24.0%
▼11.5
Republican 15-20%
24.0%
▼5.0
Republican 10-15%
24.0%
▼6.5
Democrat Wins
20.5%
–
Probability over time
Republican 20-25%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 0-10%
Republican 40%+
Republican 25-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
