TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 29.0% on "TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $348 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▼0.529%
PoliticsVol $348Total volume $3.1KLiquidity $113Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
29.0%
▼0.5
Republican 10-15%
21.5%
▲3.0
Republican 20-25%
19.1%
▼3.1
Republican 25-30%
14.5%
▲1.5
Republican 0-10%
8.50%
–
Republican 35-40%
5.60%
▼0.8
Republican 30-35%
5.50%
–
Republican 40%+
4.95%
▲0.9
Democrat Wins
4.05%
▼4.2
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 0-10%
Republican 35-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
