TN-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 5-10%" at 36.5% on "TN-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 5-10%
▲2.537%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.1Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 5-10%
36.5%
▲2.5
Republican 30%+
33.0%
▼0.5
Republican 15-20%
33.0%
▼1.0
Republican 25-30%
30.0%
▼3.5
Republican 10-15%
28.5%
▼5.0
Republican 0-5%
25.0%
▼8.5
Democrat Wins
23.5%
▼6.5
Probability over time
Republican 5-10%
Republican 30%+
Republican 15-20%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
