Toronto Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?

Polymarket traders put "Chow 4-8%" at 21.0% on "Toronto Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?". $35 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 27.

Most likely right now
Chow 4-8%
–21%
PoliticsVol $35Total volume $35Liquidity $6.9Kin 5 days (Oct 27)
Current probability

Oct 22 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Chow 4-8%
21.0%
–
Bradford 4-8%
20.0%
–
Chow 8-12%
16.0%
–
Bradford 0-4%
16.0%
–
Chow 0-4%
15.5%
–
Chow 12%+
12.0%
–
Bradford 8%+
12.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.