Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 16?

Polymarket traders put "36.8+" at 94.0% on "Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 16?". $37 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 17.

Most likely right now
36.8+
–94%
PoliticsVol $37Total volume $37Liquidity $617in 4 days (Oct 17)
Current probability

Oct 13 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
36.8+
94.0%
–
37.4+
70.0%
–
37.6+
37.5%
–
37.8+
37.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.