Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 30?

Polymarket traders put "36.0+" at 87.5% on "Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 30?". $219 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.

Most likely right now
36.0+
–88%
PoliticsVol $219Total volume $219Liquidity $2.2Kin 8 days (Oct 31)
Current probability

Oct 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
36.0+
87.5%
–
37.0+
86.5%
–
38.0+
83.0%
–
39.0+
20.5%
–
40.0+
2.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.