Trump approval rating on November 20?

Polymarket traders put "38.0–38.4" at 28.0% on "Trump approval rating on November 20?". Down 19.0%p from yesterday. $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 21.

Most likely right now
38.0–38.4
▼19.028%
PoliticsVol $1.1KTotal volume $1.7KLiquidity $7.7Kin 6 days (Nov 21)
Current probability

Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
38.0–38.4
28.0%
▼19.0
38.5–38.9
28.0%
▼5.5
39.0–39.4
21.5%
▼6.0
<38.0
17.5%
▼17.0
39.5–39.9
6.55%
▼17.4
40.0+
1.15%
▼14.3

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.