Trump approval rating on October 16?
Polymarket traders put "38.4+" at 28.5% on "Trump approval rating on October 16?". Up 15.0%p from yesterday. $2.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 17.
Most likely right now
38.4+
▲15.028%
PoliticsVol $2.5KTotal volume $2.5KLiquidity $5.4Kin 3 days (Oct 17)
Current probability
Oct 14 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
38.4+
28.5%
▲15.0
38.2–38.3
18.0%
▲3.5
38.0–38.1
16.0%
▲2.5
37.8–37.9
13.5%
▼3.0
37.6–37.7
11.5%
▼5.0
37.4–37.5
9.50%
▼4.0
37.2–37.3
7.40%
▼9.1
37.0–37.1
5.70%
▼19.3
36.8–36.9
5.65%
▼5.3
<36.8
4.45%
▼15.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
