Trump approval rating on September 18?

Polymarket traders put "38.0–38.4" at 36.5% on "Trump approval rating on September 18?". Up 10.0%p from yesterday. $588 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 18.

Most likely right now
38.0–38.4
10.037%
PoliticsVol $588Total volume $588Liquidity $4.0Kin 6 days (Sep 18)
Current probability

Sep 13 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
38.0–38.4
36.5%
10.0
37.5–37.9
26.5%
38.5–38.9
26.0%
0.5
37.0–37.4
6.00%
20.5
<37.0
5.00%
21.5
39.0+
4.75%
21.8

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.