Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?

Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 40.0% on "Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?". Down 28.0%p from yesterday. $148 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.

Most likely right now
October 31
28.040%
PoliticsVol $148Total volume $4.5KLiquidity $2.0Kin 2 months (Oct 31)
Current probability

Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
40.0%
28.0
September 30
25.0%
September 15
7.00%
2.5
August 31
0.00%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.