Turkey military action against Yemen by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 10.5% on "Turkey military action against Yemen by...?". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. $5.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▼2.011%
PoliticsVol $5.8KTotal volume $5.8KLiquidity $23Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 14 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
10.5%
▼2.0
October 31
1.45%
▼10.1

Probability over time

December 31
October 31
025507510010/1310/14
2026-10-13 ~ 2026-10-14 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.