TX-01 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Nathaniel Moran (R)" at 96.7% on "TX-01 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Nathaniel Moran (R)
–97%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $60KLiquidity $39Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Nathaniel Moran (R)
96.7%
–
Yolanda Prince (D)
2.10%
–
Probability over time
Nathaniel Moran (R)
Yolanda Prince (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
