TX-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 40-45%" at 29.6% on "TX-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Unchanged from yesterday. $34 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 40-45%
–30%
PoliticsVol $34Total volume $9.9KLiquidity $94Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 40-45%
29.6%
–
Republican 35-40%
26.5%
–
Republican 30-35%
13.0%
▼1.5
Republican 20-30%
12.2%
▲8.9
Republican 45-50%
10.0%
▼1.0
Republican 55-60%
9.40%
▼5.0
Republican 0-20%
6.30%
▼1.6
Republican 50-55%
5.35%
–
Republican 60%+
3.85%
–
Democrat Wins
0.70%
–
Probability over time
Republican 40-45%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 20-30%
Republican 45-50%
Republican 55-60%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
