TX-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 35-40%" at 30.0% on "TX-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 5.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 35-40%
▼5.530%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 35-40%
30.0%
▼5.5
Republican 30-35%
30.0%
▼5.0
Republican 55-60%
29.0%
▼3.0
Republican 45-50%
25.5%
▼4.5
Republican 60%+
25.0%
▼3.0
Republican 50-55%
25.0%
▼2.5
Republican 0-20%
25.0%
▼3.5
Democrat Wins
23.7%
▼1.3
Republican 40-45%
23.0%
▼4.5
Republican 20-30%
23.0%
▼4.5
Probability over time
Republican 35-40%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 55-60%
Republican 45-50%
Republican 60%+
Republican 50-55%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
