TX-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 38.5% on "TX-02 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
–39%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $8.7KLiquidity $78Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
38.5%
–
Republican 15-20%
22.5%
–
Republican 5-10%
15.5%
▼0.5
Republican 25-30%
12.4%
▼2.3
Republican 20-25%
11.0%
▼2.0
Republican 30%+
10.5%
–
Republican 0-5%
8.10%
–
Democrat Wins
1.65%
–
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 30%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
