TX-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-5%" at 29.5% on "TX-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 0-5%
▲2.530%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $20Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 0-5%
29.5%
▲2.5
Republican 10-15%
28.5%
▲2.5
Republican 20-25%
27.5%
▼0.5
Republican 15-20%
25.5%
▼4.0
Republican 5-10%
24.5%
▲2.0
Democrat Wins
24.5%
▲15.5
Republican 30%+
23.5%
▼1.5
Republican 25-30%
21.0%
▼4.5
Probability over time
Republican 0-5%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 5-10%
Democrat Wins
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
