TX-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 35%+" at 28.0% on "TX-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 35%+
▼0.528%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $32Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 35%+
28.0%
▼0.5
Republican 20-25%
26.5%
▼2.0
Republican 15-20%
26.5%
▼8.0
Republican 10-15%
26.5%
▼8.0
Republican 0-5%
26.5%
▼6.5
Democrat Wins
22.5%
▲3.0
Republican 5-10%
20.0%
▼8.0
Republican 30-35%
19.5%
▼10.0
Republican 25-30%
17.5%
▼11.5
Probability over time
Republican 35%+
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 0-5%
Democrat Wins
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
