TX-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 5-10%" at 25.8% on "TX-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.2%p from yesterday. $101 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 5-10%
▼1.226%
PoliticsVol $101Total volume $14KLiquidity $114Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 5-10%
25.8%
▼1.2
Republican 10-15%
24.5%
▼11.5
Republican 15-20%
16.5%
▼1.0
Republican 35%+
11.7%
▲3.8
Republican 25-30%
9.30%
▲2.1
Republican 0-5%
8.15%
▲2.1
Republican 30-35%
6.85%
–
Republican 20-25%
1.80%
–
Democrat Wins
1.10%
–
Probability over time
Republican 5-10%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 35%+
Republican 25-30%
Republican 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
