TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 34.0% on "TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 9.5%p from yesterday. $1.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▲9.534%
PoliticsVol $1.0KTotal volume $12KLiquidity $39Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
34.0%
▲9.5
Republican 10-15%
25.9%
▼3.8
Republican 20-25%
21.0%
▼0.5
Republican 25-30%
16.6%
▲9.6
Republican 0-5%
16.2%
▲5.3
Republican 5-10%
12.3%
–
Republican 30-35%
5.75%
▲4.1
Republican 35%+
5.05%
–
Democrat Wins
1.70%
–
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 5-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
