TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Most likely right now
Republican 0-5%
▼0.534%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $43Liquidity $1.2Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 0-5%
33.5%
▼0.5
Republican 35%+
30.5%
▲6.0
Republican 5-10%
30.5%
▼5.0
Republican 20-25%
28.0%
▼11.5
Republican 25-30%
23.0%
▼11.0
Democrat Wins
23.0%
▲2.5
Republican 30-35%
22.5%
▼15.5
Republican 10-15%
19.0%
▼16.5
Republican 15-20%
18.0%
▼17.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
