TX-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 28.0% on "TX-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $220 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▼1.028%
PoliticsVol $220Total volume $8.8KLiquidity $62Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
28.0%
▼1.0
Republican 10-15%
26.0%
–
Republican 20-25%
15.0%
▲1.5
Republican 5-10%
14.5%
▲2.0
Republican 0-5%
9.20%
▲4.5
Republican 25-30%
8.85%
▲1.5
Republican 30%+
4.20%
–
Democrat Wins
2.85%
▼5.2
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 25-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
