TX-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 30-35%" at 28.5% on "TX-06 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 30-35%
▲0.528%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $180Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 30-35%
28.5%
▲0.5
Republican 5-10%
27.5%
▼3.5
Republican 25-30%
27.0%
▼6.5
Republican 15-20%
27.0%
▼1.0
Republican 0-5%
25.5%
–
Republican 35%+
24.0%
▼0.5
Democrat Wins
22.5%
▼1.0
Republican 20-25%
22.0%
▼4.5
Republican 10-15%
19.5%
▼7.5
Probability over time
Republican 30-35%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 35%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
