TX-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 30.5% on "TX-06 House Election Margin of Victory". $40 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
–31%
PoliticsVol $40Total volume $9.3KLiquidity $75Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
30.5%
–
Republican 10-15%
24.4%
▲0.7
Republican 5-10%
22.2%
▼4.2
Republican 25-30%
12.3%
▲3.1
Republican 20-25%
6.50%
–
Republican 35%+
4.70%
–
Republican 30-35%
3.85%
–
Republican 0-5%
3.15%
–
Democrat Wins
2.25%
–
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 35%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
