TX-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 10-20%" at 37.0% on "TX-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 7.0%p from yesterday. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 10-20%
7.037%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $215Liquidity $9.3Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 10-20%
37.0%
7.0
Democrat 0-10%
37.0%
12.0
Democrat 30-35%
36.0%
4.5
Democrat 35-40%
35.5%
9.5
Democrat 20-25%
27.0%
10.5
Republican Wins
3.50%

Probability over time

Democrat 10-20%
Democrat 0-10%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 20-25%
Republican Wins
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.