TX-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 40-45%" at 33.5% on "TX-07 House Election Margin of Victory". $64 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Democrat 40-45%
–34%
PoliticsVol $64Total volume $11KLiquidity $136Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 40-45%
33.5%
–
Democrat 35-40%
28.2%
–
Democrat 30-35%
16.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 45-50%
11.5%
–
Democrat 25-30%
8.55%
▲0.6
Democrat 50%+
2.70%
–
Democrat 10-20%
2.65%
▼0.8
Democrat 20-25%
2.20%
–
Democrat 0-10%
1.10%
–
Republican Wins
0.55%
–

Probability over time

Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 50%+
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.