TX-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-18%" at 23.5% on "TX-09 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-18%
▼2.524%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $161Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-18%
23.5%
▼2.5
Republican 12-15%
23.5%
▼4.5
Republican 6-9%
23.5%
▼11.0
Republican 3-6%
23.5%
▼5.0
Republican 18%+
23.0%
▼0.5
Republican 9-12%
22.0%
▼9.5
Republican 0-3%
18.5%
▼12.5
Democrat 0-3%
7.50%
▼27.0
Democrat 3-6%
7.50%
–
Democrat 6%+
5.65%
▲1.5
Probability over time
Republican 15-18%
Republican 12-15%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 18%+
Republican 9-12%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
