TX-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 12-15%" at 21.5% on "TX-09 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 11.5%p from yesterday. $130 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 12-15%
▼11.522%
PoliticsVol $130Total volume $6.8KLiquidity $123Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 12-15%
21.5%
▼11.5
Democrat 6%+
18.3%
▼2.4
Republican 6-9%
18.0%
▼2.0
Republican 9-12%
16.0%
▲0.5
Republican 3-6%
15.2%
▼0.5
Republican 0-3%
6.65%
▲1.7
Republican 15-18%
6.40%
▲4.3
Democrat 0-3%
5.60%
–
Republican 18%+
4.75%
▼1.5
Democrat 3-6%
4.50%
▲0.7
Probability over time
Republican 12-15%
Democrat 6%+
Republican 6-9%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 0-3%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
