TX-10 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 23.5% on "TX-10 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▼1.524%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $22Liquidity $11Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
23.5%
▼1.5
Republican 0-5%
23.0%
▼6.0
Republican 25-30%
22.5%
▲1.5
Republican 15-20%
21.0%
▼9.5
Republican 30%+
20.0%
▼7.5
Democrat Wins
17.5%
▼3.5
Republican 5-10%
17.0%
▼11.0
Republican 20-25%
13.0%
▲0.5
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 30%+
Democrat Wins
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
