TX-10 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 5-10%" at 32.5% on "TX-10 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. $277 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 5-10%
▼2.033%
PoliticsVol $277Total volume $12KLiquidity $37Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 5-10%
32.5%
▼2.0
Republican 10-15%
29.0%
▼0.5
Democrat Wins
7.40%
▼6.9
Republican 25-30%
7.05%
–
Republican 30%+
6.25%
▼3.4
Republican 0-5%
6.00%
▼3.0
Republican 20-25%
5.75%
▲3.9
Republican 15-20%
5.65%
▼1.7
Probability over time
Republican 5-10%
Republican 10-15%
Democrat Wins
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30%+
Republican 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
