TX-12 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-5%" at 28.0% on "TX-12 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 8.0%p from yesterday. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 0-5%
▼8.028%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.3Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 0-5%
28.0%
▼8.0
Republican 5-10%
27.5%
▼5.0
Republican 20-25%
27.0%
▼5.0
Republican 15-20%
27.0%
▼3.0
Republican 30%+
25.5%
▼8.0
Republican 10-15%
23.0%
▼6.0
Democrat Wins
18.5%
▼9.0
Probability over time
Republican 0-5%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 30%+
Republican 10-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
