TX-12 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 27.6% on "TX-12 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.3%p from yesterday. $23 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▲1.328%
PoliticsVol $23Total volume $8.8KLiquidity $60Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
27.6%
▲1.3
Republican 15-20%
23.0%
▼23.0
Republican 20-25%
15.4%
–
Republican 25-30%
13.0%
–
Republican 0-5%
8.40%
▲7.4
Republican 5-10%
7.65%
–
Democrat Wins
6.50%
▲0.7
Republican 30%+
0.70%
–
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 5-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
