TX-14 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 35.0% on "TX-14 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 6.0%p from yesterday. $3.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▲6.035%
PoliticsVol $3.0KTotal volume $12KLiquidity $100Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
35.0%
▲6.0
Republican 15-20%
26.1%
▲1.3
Republican 5-10%
20.0%
▼1.5
Republican 20-25%
11.0%
▼2.0
Republican 30-35%
5.70%
–
Republican 25-30%
5.15%
▼14.6
Republican 0-5%
2.40%
–
Democrat Wins
0.50%
–
Republican 35%+
0.35%
–
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
