TX-14 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 28.0% on "TX-14 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▼0.528%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
28.0%
▼0.5
Republican 30-35%
26.5%
▼2.0
Republican 25-30%
26.5%
▲5.0
Republican 0-5%
26.0%
▼2.5
Republican 35%+
25.0%
▼3.5
Democrat Wins
22.5%
▼1.5
Republican 5-10%
21.5%
▼1.0
Republican 20-25%
20.5%
▼2.5
Republican 15-20%
17.5%
▼7.0
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 35%+
Democrat Wins
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
