TX-16 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Veronica Escobar (D)" at 97.4% on "TX-16 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Veronica Escobar (D)
–97%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $27KLiquidity $35Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Veronica Escobar (D)
97.4%
–
Adam Bauman (R)
2.05%
▲0.7
Probability over time
Veronica Escobar (D)
Adam Bauman (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
