TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35-40%" at 30.5% on "TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.4%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 35-40%
▲2.431%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $21KLiquidity $129Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35-40%
30.5%
▲2.4
Democrat 25-30%
24.3%
▲3.8
Democrat 30-35%
21.3%
–
Democrat 40-45%
10.8%
▼12.9
Democrat 45%+
3.30%
–
Democrat 20-25%
2.55%
–
Democrat 15-20%
0.85%
–
Republican Wins
0.35%
–
Democrat 5-15%
0.05%
–
Democrat 0-5%
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 45%+
Democrat 20-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
