TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 45%+" at 32.0% on "TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 45%+
▲0.532%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 45%+
32.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 5-15%
32.0%
–
Democrat 25-30%
31.5%
▲4.0
Democrat 0-5%
29.5%
▼4.5
Democrat 20-25%
29.0%
▼4.5
Democrat 15-20%
29.0%
▼6.5
Republican Wins
28.7%
▲7.0
Democrat 35-40%
26.0%
–
Democrat 30-35%
23.5%
▼3.0
Democrat 40-45%
22.0%
▼7.5
Probability over time
Democrat 45%+
Democrat 5-15%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
