TX-17 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 26.5% on "TX-17 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $479 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▼0.527%
PoliticsVol $479Total volume $7.5KLiquidity $82Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
26.5%
▼0.5
Republican 10-15%
26.0%
▲0.5
Republican 0-5%
12.1%
▲4.9
Republican 20-25%
11.5%
▼1.0
Republican 5-10%
11.3%
▼11.2
Republican 25-30%
9.70%
▼2.9
Republican 30%+
7.25%
▲2.4
Democrat Wins
5.05%
–

Probability over time

Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 25-30%
02550751008/259/79/159/2310/110/910/11
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.