TX-17 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 36.0% on "TX-17 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▼1.536%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $32Liquidity $9.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
36.0%
▼1.5
Republican 20-25%
35.5%
▼3.0
Republican 10-15%
35.5%
▼2.0
Republican 25-30%
28.0%
▼1.5
Republican 30%+
27.5%
▲11.5
Republican 0-5%
16.0%
–
Republican 5-10%
14.5%
–
Democrat Wins
6.00%
▲2.0
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30%+
Republican 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
