TX-18 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Christian Menefee (D)" at 95.6% on "TX-18 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Christian Menefee (D)
–96%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $16KLiquidity $24Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Christian Menefee (D)
95.6%
–
Ronald Whitfield (R)
4.45%
▲0.9
Probability over time
Christian Menefee (D)
Ronald Whitfield (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
