TX-18 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 75%+" at 24.0% on "TX-18 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 75%+
▼3.024%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $27Liquidity $2.1Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 75%+
24.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 60-65%
24.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 35-45%
24.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 70-75%
23.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 55-60%
23.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 45-50%
23.0%
▼4.0
Democrat 50-55%
19.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 65-70%
18.0%
–
Democrat 0-35%
17.0%
▼1.5
Republican Wins
15.6%
▲13.4
Probability over time
Democrat 75%+
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 35-45%
Democrat 70-75%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 45-50%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
