TX-18 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 60-65%" at 47.0% on "TX-18 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 14.0%p from yesterday. $930 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 60-65%
▲14.047%
PoliticsVol $930Total volume $7.2KLiquidity $73Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 60-65%
47.0%
▲14.0
Democrat 55-60%
22.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 50-55%
18.0%
▲6.5
Democrat 70-75%
17.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 65-70%
8.85%
▼5.3
Democrat 45-50%
6.40%
▼4.2
Democrat 0-35%
4.85%
–
Democrat 75%+
1.85%
▲0.7
Democrat 35-45%
1.40%
▼0.8
Republican Wins
0.45%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 70-75%
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 45-50%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
