TX-19 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 40-45%" at 31.5% on "TX-19 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 8.0%p from yesterday. $1.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 40-45%
▲8.032%
PoliticsVol $1.8KTotal volume $13KLiquidity $158Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 40-45%
31.5%
▲8.0
Republican 35-40%
30.5%
▲17.0
Republican 45-50%
15.5%
▼3.0
Republican 30-35%
11.0%
▼4.5
Republican 25-30%
4.40%
–
Republican 50-55%
3.90%
▼2.5
Republican 15-25%
3.55%
–
Republican 55%+
2.10%
▼7.6
Republican 0-15%
0.80%
▼1.3
Democrat Wins
0.45%
–
Probability over time
Republican 40-45%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 45-50%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 50-55%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
