TX-19 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-25%" at 33.5% on "TX-19 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 9.5%p from yesterday. $200 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-25%
▲9.534%
PoliticsVol $200Total volume $252Liquidity $1.9Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-25%
33.5%
▲9.5
Republican 45-50%
30.5%
▲5.0
Republican 35-40%
30.5%
▲10.0
Republican 55%+
29.0%
▲14.5
Republican 25-30%
27.0%
▼7.5
Republican 40-45%
25.5%
▲4.5
Republican 30-35%
24.5%
▼0.5
Republican 0-15%
24.0%
▼0.5
Democrat Wins
21.3%
▲18.1
Republican 50-55%
19.0%
–
Probability over time
Republican 15-25%
Republican 45-50%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 55%+
Republican 25-30%
Republican 40-45%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
