TX-20 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Joaquin Castro (D)" at 95.5% on "TX-20 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Joaquin Castro (D)
–95%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $39KLiquidity $34Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Joaquin Castro (D)
95.5%
–
Edgardo Rafael Baez (R)
3.55%
▼0.7
Probability over time
Joaquin Castro (D)
Edgardo Rafael Baez (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
