TX-20 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 26.5% on "TX-20 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 4.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▲4.027%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $22Liquidity $1.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
26.5%
▲4.0
Democrat 45-50%
23.0%
▼7.5
Democrat 35-40%
23.0%
–
Democrat 30-35%
22.5%
▼8.0
Democrat 55%+
22.0%
▼15.5
Democrat 50-55%
22.0%
▼14.5
Democrat 40-45%
21.5%
▼5.0
Republican Wins
15.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 15-25%
13.5%
▼20.5
Democrat 0-15%
13.5%
▼13.0
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 55%+
Democrat 50-55%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
