TX-20 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 40-45%" at 39.5% on "TX-20 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 8.0%p from yesterday. $630 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 40-45%
▲8.040%
PoliticsVol $630Total volume $11KLiquidity $97Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 40-45%
39.5%
▲8.0
Democrat 45-50%
38.6%
▲6.5
Democrat 35-40%
15.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 30-35%
7.15%
▲2.7
Democrat 50-55%
5.15%
▲1.0
Democrat 55%+
2.50%
▼0.9
Democrat 0-15%
1.25%
–
Democrat 15-25%
0.60%
▲0.5
Democrat 25-30%
0.20%
–
Republican Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 55%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
