TX-21 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 5-10%" at 34.5% on "TX-21 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. $148 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 5-10%
▼2.535%
PoliticsVol $148Total volume $15KLiquidity $76Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 5-10%
34.5%
▼2.5
Republican 10-15%
21.5%
–
Republican 15-20%
20.5%
▲3.0
Republican 0-5%
12.5%
–
Republican 20-25%
7.95%
▼1.5
Republican 30%+
5.70%
▲0.8
Democrat Wins
3.85%
–
Republican 25-30%
0.45%
–
Probability over time
Republican 5-10%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 30%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
